Simple blood tests to diagnose compensated advanced chronic liver disease and stratify the risk of clinically significant portal hypertension.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) identifies patients at risk for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), and thus, for liver-related complications. The limited availability of liver stiffness measurements (LSM) impedes the identification of patients at risk for cACLD/CSPH outside of specialized clinics. We aimed to develop a blood-based algorithm to identify cACLD by fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) and CSPH by von Willebrand factor/platelet count ratio (VITRO). APPROACH AND RESULTS: Patients with (suspected) compensated chronic liver disease undergoing FIB-4+LSM were included in the LSM/FIB-4 cohorts from Vienna and Salzburg. The HVPG/VITRO cohorts included patients undergoing HVPG-measurement + VITRO from Vienna and Bern.LSM/FIB-4-derivation-cohort: We included 6143 patients, of whom 211 (3.4%) developed hepatic decompensation. In all, 1724 (28.1%) had LSM ≥ 10 kPa, which corresponded to FIB-4 ≥ 1.75. Importantly, both LSM (AUROC:0.897 [95% CI:0.865-0.929]) and FIB-4 (AUROC:0.914 [95% CI:0.885-0.944]) were similarly accurate in predicting hepatic decompensation within 3 years. FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 identified patients at risk for first hepatic decompensation (5 y-cumulative incidence:7.6%), while in those <1.75, the risk was negligible (0.3%).HVPG/VITRO-derivation cohort: 247 patients of whom 202 had cACLD/FIB-4 ≥ 1.75 were included. VITRO exhibited an excellent diagnostic performance for CSPH (AUROC:0.889 [95% CI:0.844-0.934]), similar to LSM (AUROC:0.856 [95% CI:0.801-0.910], p = 0.351) and the ANTICIPATE model (AUROC:0.910 [95% CI:0.869-0.952], p = 0.498). VITRO < 1.0/ ≥ 2.5 ruled-out (sensitivity:100.0%)/ruled-in (specificity:92.4%) CSPH. The diagnostic performance was comparable to the Baveno-VII criteria.LSM/FIB-4-derivation cohort findings were externally validated in n = 1560 patients, while HVPG/VITRO-derivation-cohort findings were internally (n = 133) and externally (n = 55) validated. CONCLUSIONS: Simple, broadly available laboratory tests (FIB-4/VITRO) facilitate cACLD detection and CSPH risk stratification in patients with (suspected) liver disease. This blood-based approach is applicable outside of specialized clinics and may promote early intervention.

Using liver stiffness to predict and monitor the risk of decompensation and mortality in patients with alcohol-related liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) is recommended for disease prognostication and monitoring. We evaluated if LSM, using transient elastography, and LSM changes predict decompensation and mortality in patients with alcohol-related liver disease (ALD). METHODS: We performed an observational cohort study of compensated patients at risk of ALD from Denmark and Austria. We evaluated the risk of decompensation and all-cause mortality, stratified for compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD: baseline LSM ≥10 kPa) and LSM changes after a median of 2 years. In patients with cACLD, we defined LSM changes as (A) LSM increase ≥20% ("cACLD increasers") and (B) follow-up LSM <10 kPa or <20 kPa with LSM decrease ≥20% ("cACLD decreasers"). In patients without cACLD, we defined follow-up LSM ≥10 kPa as an LSM increase ("No cACLD increasers"). The remaining patients were considered LSM stable. RESULTS: We followed 536 patients for 3,008 patient-years, median age 57 years (IQR 49-63), baseline LSM 8.1 kPa (IQR 4.9-21.7). 371 patients (69%) had follow-up LSM after a median of 25 months (IQR 17-38), 41 subsequently decompensated and 55 died. Of 125 with cACLD at baseline, 14% were "cACLD increasers" and 43% "cACLD decreasers", while 13% of patients without cACLD were "No cACLD increasers" (n = 33/246). Baseline LSM, follow-up LSM and LSM changes accurately predicted decompensation (C-index: baseline LSM 0.85; follow-up LSM 0.89; LSM changes 0.85) and mortality (C-index: baseline LSM 0.74; follow-up LSM 0.74; LSM changes 0.70). When compared to "cACLD decreasers", "cACLD increasers" had significantly lower decompensation-free survival and higher risks of decompensation (subdistribution hazard ratio 4.39, p = 0.004) and mortality (hazard ratio 3.22, p = 0.01). CONCLUSION: LSM by transient elastography predicts decompensation and all-cause mortality in patients with compensated ALD both at diagnosis and when used for monitoring. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Patients at risk of alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) are at significant risk of progressive disease and adverse outcomes. Monitoring is essential for optimal disease surveillance and patient guidance, but non-invasive monitoring tools are lacking. In this study we demonstrate that liver stiffness measurement (LSM), using transient elastography, and LSM changes after a median of 2 years, can predict decompensation and all-cause mortality in patients at risk of ALD with and without compensated advanced chronic liver disease. These findings are in line with results from non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, hepatitis C and primary sclerosing cholangitis, and support the clinical utility of LSM, using transient elastography, for disease prognostication and monitoring in chronic liver diseases including ALD, as recommended by the Baveno VII.

Validation of Baveno VII criteria and other non-invasive diagnostic algorithms for clinically significant portal hypertension in hepatitis delta.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Non-invasive tests (NIT) for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) in compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) lack validation in patients infected with hepatitis D virus (HDV). METHODS: HDV-cACLD patients (LSM ≥10 kPa or histological METAVIR F3/F4 fibrosis) who underwent paired HVPG and NIT assessment at Medical University of Vienna or Hannover Medical School between 2013 and 2023 were retrospectively included. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM), von Willebrand factor to platelet count ratio (VITRO), and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) were assessed. Individual CSPH risk was calculated according to previously published models (ANTICIPATE, 3P/5P). The diagnostic performance of Baveno-VII criteria and refined algorithms (Baveno-VII-VITRO, Baveno-VII-SSM) was evaluated. The prognostic utility of NIT was investigated in the main and an independent, multicenter validation cohort. RESULTS: Fifty-one patients (HVPG ≥10 mmHg/CSPH prevalence: 62.7%, varices: 42.2%) were included. LSM (25.8 [17.2-31.0] vs. 14.0 [10.5-19.8] kPa; p<0.001), VITRO (n=31, 3.5 [2.7-4.5] vs. 1.3 [0.6-2.0] %/[G/L]; p<0.001), and SSM (n=20, 53.8 [41.7-75.5] vs. 24.0 [17.0-33.9] kPa; p<0.001) were significantly higher in CSPH patients. Composite CSPH risk models yielded excellent AUROC (ANTICIPATE: 0.885, 3P: 0.903, 5P: 0.912). Baveno-VII criteria ruled out CSPH with 100% sensitivity and ruled in CSPH with 84.2% specificity. The Baveno-VII 'grey zone' (41.1%) was significantly reduced by Baveno-VII-VITRO or Baveno-VII-SSM, while maintaining diagnostic accuracy. Hepatic decompensation within two years occurred only in patients who had CSPH or met Baveno-VII rule-in criteria. The prognostic value of NIT was confirmed in the validation cohort comprising 92 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Standalone and composite NIT/ diagnostic algorithms are useful for CSPH diagnosis in HDV-cACLD patients. Thus, NIT may be applied to identify and prioritize patients with CSPH for novel antiviral treatments against CHD. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-invasive tests (NIT) for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) have been developed to identify compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) patients at risk for decompensation, but conflicting data has been published regarding the accuracy of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) for the staging of fibrosis in patients infected with hepatitis D virus (HDV). In our study including 51 HDV-cACLD patients, NIT, i.e., most importantly, the ANTICIPATE model based on LSM and platelet count, but also lab-based approaches, i.e., 3P/5P model and the von Willebrand factor to platelet count ratio (VITRO), and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) yielded high AUROC for CSPH. Moreover, only patients with CSPH or high non-invasively assessed CSPH-risk were at risk for decompensation within two years, and the prognostic value of NIT was confirmed in a validation cohort. Thus, NIT should be applied and updated in yearly intervals in clinical routine to identify HDV-cACLD patients at short-term risk and may guide prioritization for novel antiviral treatment options.

Evaluation of potential hepatic recompensation criteria in patients with PBC and decompensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Aetiological therapy improves liver function and may enable hepatic recompensation in decompensated cirrhosis. AIMS: We explored the potential for recompensation in patients with decompensated primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) - considering a biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) according to Paris-II criteria as a surrogate for successful aetiological treatment. METHODS: Patients with PBC were retrospectively included at the time of first decompensation. Recompensation was defined as (i) resolution of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) despite discontinuation of diuretic/HE therapy, (ii) absence of variceal bleeding and (iii) sustained liver function improvement. RESULTS: In total, 42 patients with PBC with decompensated cirrhosis (age: 63.5 [IQR: 51.9-69.2] years; 88.1% female; MELD-Na: 13.5 [IQR: 11.0-15.0]) were included and followed for 41.9 (IQR: 11.0-70.9) months after decompensation. Seven patients (16.7%) achieved recompensation. Lower MELD-Na (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR]: 0.90; p = 0.047), bilirubin (SHR per mg/dL: 0.44; p = 0.005) and alkaline phosphatase (SHR per 10 U/L: 0.67; p = 0.001) at decompensation, as well as variceal bleeding as decompensating event (SHR: 4.37; p = 0.069), were linked to a higher probability of recompensation. Overall, 33 patients were treated with UDCA for ≥1 year and 12 (36%) achieved Paris-II response criteria. Recompensation occurred in 5/12 (41.7%) and in 2/21 (9.5%) patients with vs. without UDCA response at 1 year, respectively. Recompensation was linked to a numerically improved transplant-free survival (HR: 0.46; p = 0.335). Nonetheless, 4/7 recompensated patients presented with liver-related complications after developing hepatic malignancy and/or portal vein thrombosis and 2 eventually died. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with PBC and decompensated cirrhosis may achieve hepatic recompensation under UDCA therapy. However, since liver-related complications still occur after recompensation, patients should remain under close follow-up.

Prognostic performance of non-invasive tests for portal hypertension is comparable to that of hepatic venous pressure gradient.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Non-invasive tests to assess the probability of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) - including the ANTICIPATE±NASH models based on liver stiffness measurement and platelet count±BMI, and the von Willebrand factor antigen to platelet count ratio (VITRO) - have fundamentally changed the management of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, their prognostic utility has not been compared head-to-head to the gold standard for prognostication in cACLD, i.e. the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). METHODS: Patients with cACLD (liver stiffness measurement ≥10 kPa) who underwent advanced characterization via same-day HVPG/non-invasive test assessment from 2007-2022 were retrospectively included. Long-term follow-up data on hepatic decompensation was recorded. RESULTS: Four hundred and twenty patients with cACLD of varying etiologies, with a CSPH prevalence of 67.6%, were included. The cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation at 1 and 2 years was 4.7% and 8.0%, respectively. HVPG, VITRO, and ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability showed similar time-dependent prognostic value (AUROCs 0.683-0.811 at 1 year and 0.699-0.801 at 2 years). In competing risk analyses adjusted for MELD score and albumin, HVPG (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [aSHR] 1.099 [95% CI 1.054-1.150] per mmHg; p <0.001), or VITRO (aSHR 1.134 [95% CI 1.062-1.211] per unit; p <0.001), or ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability (aSHR 1.232 [95% CI 1.094-1.387] per 10%; p <0.001) all predicted first decompensation during follow-up. Previously proposed cut-offs (HVPG ≥10 mmHg vs. <10 mmHg, VITRO ≥2.5 vs. <2.5, and ANTICIPATE-CSPH probability ≥60% vs. <60%) all accurately discriminated between patients at negligible risk and those at substantial risk of hepatic decompensation. CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic performance of ANTICIPATE±NASH-CSPH-probability and VITRO is comparable to that of HVPG, supporting their utility for identifying patients who may benefit from medical therapies to prevent first hepatic decompensation. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-invasive tests have revolutionized the diagnosis and management of clinically significant portal hypertension in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). However, limited data exists regarding the prognostic utility of non-invasive tests in direct comparison to the gold standard for prognostication in cACLD, i.e. the hepatic venous pressure gradient. In our study including 420 patients with cACLD, the ANTICIPATE±NASH model and VITRO yielded similar AUROCs to hepatic venous pressure gradient for hepatic decompensation within 1 to 2 years. Thus, non-invasive tests should be applied and updated in yearly intervals in clinical routine to identify patients at short-term risk, thereby identifying patients who may benefit from treatment aimed at preventing hepatic decompensation.

Platelet adhesion assessed by PFA-100 is not linked to progression of ACLD.

Background & Aims: Increased aggregation of individual platelets upon activation, as assessed by whole blood aggregometry standardised to platelet count (PLT), has recently been linked to progression of advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Moreover, changes in primary haemostasis have been implicated in bleeding and thrombosis in patients with ACLD.We aimed (i) to identify the determinants of the primary haemostatic capacity - as assessed by Platelet Function Analyzer 100 (PFA-100) ('in vitro bleeding time') - in patients with ACLD and (ii) to investigate its potential association with clinical outcomes. Methods: PFA-100 was performed in 688 patients with ACLD undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement. Hepatic decompensation and liver-related death as well as bleeding and thrombosis were the outcomes of interest. Results: Sixty-three percent of patients had a PFA-100 collagen/epinephrine closure time (CT) of >150 s (i.e. prolonged). PLT and haematocrit were the main determinants of CT, whereas it was not impacted by von Willebrand factor antigen. Mirroring the increasing prevalence/severity of thrombocytopaenia and anaemia, we observed a progressive prolongation of CT (i.e. decreased primary haemostatic capacity) with more advanced disease, as indicated by clinical stage, Child-Turcotte-Pugh score, United Network for Organ Sharing model for end-stage liver disease (2016) score, and hepatic venous pressure gradient. Although increased CT (i.e. decreased primary haemostatic capacity) was associated with an increased risk of hepatic decompensation/liver-related death, these associations were less consistent after adjusting/correcting for PLT/haematocrit and established prognostic indicators. Finally, CT was not associated with the incidence of major bleedings or thromboses. Conclusions: These findings do not support the hypothesis that increased platelet adhesion - assessed in vitro under shear stress by PFA-100 - promotes ACLD progression. Impact and implications: The potential of platelets to aggregate in the bloodstream may be increased in patients with advanced chronic liver disease. Platelet Function Analyzer 100 (PFA-100), a blood test reflecting in vitro bleeding time, might be suggestive of an impaired primary clot forming capacity. In our study, we could show that PFA-100 results were not linked to bleeding/thrombotic events. Our findings do not support the hypothesis that an increased adhesion of platelets (assessed by PFA-100) might lead to a disease progression in patients with advanced chronic liver disease.

Dynamics in Liver Stiffness Measurements Predict Outcomes in Advanced Chronic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) provide an opportunity to monitor liver disease progression and regression noninvasively. We aimed to determine the prognostic relevance of LSM dynamics over time for liver-related events and death in patients with chronic liver disease. METHODS: Patients with chronic liver disease undergoing 2 or more reliable LSMs at least 180 days apart were included in this retrospective cohort study and stratified at baseline (BL) as nonadvanced chronic liver disease (non-ACLD, BL-LSM < 10 kPa), compensated ACLD (cACLD; BL-LSM ≥ 10 kPa), and decompensated ACLD. Data on all consecutive LSMs and clinical outcomes were collected. RESULTS: There were 2508 patients with 8561 reliable LSMs (3 per patient; interquartile range, 2-4) included: 1647 (65.7%) with non-ACLD, 757 (30.2%) with cACLD, and 104 (4.1%) with decompensated ACLD. Seven non-ACLD patients (0.4%) and 83 patients with cACLD (10.9%) developed hepatic decompensation (median follow-up, 71 months). A 20% increase in LSM at any time was associated with an approximately 50% increased risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.41-1.79; P < .001) and liver-related death (hazard ratio, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.28-1.68; P < .001) in patients with cACLD. LSM dynamics yielded a high accuracy to predict hepatic decompensation in the following 12 months (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve = 0.933). The performance of LSM dynamics was numerically better than dynamics in Fibrosis-4 score (0.873), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (0.835), and single time-point LSM (BL-LSM: 0.846; second LSM: 0.880). Any LSM decrease to <20 kPa identified patients with cACLD with a substantially lower risk of hepatic decompensation (hazard ratio, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.07-0.24). If reliable, LSM also confers prognostic information in decompensated ACLD. CONCLUSIONS: Repeating LSM enables an individual and updated risk assessment for decompensation and liver-related mortality in ACLD.

Platelet Function Decreases with Increasing Severity of Liver Cirrhosis and Portal Hypertension-A Prospective Study.

BACKGROUND: Cirrhotic patients display an increased risk for both bleeding and thrombosis. We investigated platelet activation across Child-Pugh stages (CPSs) and portal hypertension (PH) severity. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 110 cirrhotic patients were prospectively included. CPS and hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) were determined. Platelet surface expression of P-selectin and activated glycoprotein (GP) IIb/IIIa were measured by flow cytometry before/after stimulation with protease-activated receptor (PAR)-1 (thrombin receptor activating peptide, TRAP) and PAR-4 (AYPGKF) agonists, epinephrine, and lipopolysaccharide (LPS). RESULTS: Platelet count was similar across CPS but lower with increasing PH severity. Expression of P-selectin and activated GPIIb/IIIa in response to TRAP and AYPGKF was significantly reduced in platelets of CPS-B/C versus CPS-A patients (all p < 0.05). Platelet P-selectin expression upon epinephrine and LPS stimulation was reduced in CPS-C patients, while activated GPIIb/IIIa in response to these agonists was lower in CPS-B/C (all p < 0.05). Regarding PH severity, P-selectin and activated GPIIb/IIIa in response to AYPGKF were lower in HVPG ≥20 mmHg patients (both p < 0.001 vs. HVPG < 10 mmHg). Similarly, activated GPIIb/IIIa was lower in HVPG ≥20 mmHg patients after TRAP stimulation (p < 0.01 vs. HVPG < 10 mmHg). The lower platelet surface expression of P-selectin and activated GPIIb/IIIa upon stimulation of thrombin receptors (PAR-1/PAR-4) in CPS-B/C and HVPG ≥20 mmHg patients was paralleled by reduced antithrombin-III levels in those patients (all p < 0.05). Overall, PAR-1- and PAR-4-mediated platelet activation correlated with antithrombin-III levels (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Platelet responsiveness decreases with increasing severity of liver cirrhosis and PH but is potentially counterbalanced by lower antithrombin-III levels.

Hepatic recompensation according to Baveno VII criteria is linked to a significant survival benefit in decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Removing the primary aetiological factor in decompensated cirrhosis may lead to a restoration of hepatic function. In this study, we investigated the clinical implications of recompensation and the subsequent survival in patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis. METHODS: The rate of recompensation was evaluated in patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis and persistent alcohol abstinence undergoing a hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement. Recompensation was defined according to Baveno VII criteria as resolution of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy, absence of variceal bleeding and improvement in liver function. RESULTS: Two hundred and four abstinent patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis (age: 57.2 [IQR:50.1-63.7] years; 75.0% male; median MELD: 15 [IQR:11-19]) and a median HVPG of 20 (IQR:18-24) mmHg were included. During a median follow-up of 24.4 (IQR:10.9-50.4) months, 37 patients (18.1%) achieved abstinence-induced recompensation. Lower baseline HVPG, lower Child-Pugh score, lower BMI, higher albumin and higher mean arterial pressure were linked to a higher probability of recompensation. After adjusting for age, disease severity, portal hypertension and systemic inflammation, achieving recompensation resulted in a significant and considerable reduction in liver-related mortality (adjusted HR: 0.091 [95% CI: 0.012-0.677]; p = .019). Only 13 patients (6.4%) developed hepatocellular carcinoma, with a tendency towards a lower risk upon recompensation (HR: 0.398 [95% CI: 0.084-1.878]; p = .245), yet this finding did not reach statistical significance and requires further investigation. CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol abstinence led to recompensation in 18.1% of our cohort of HVPG-characterised patients with decompensated alcohol-related cirrhosis. Achieving hepatic recompensation resulted in a >90% risk reduction in liver-related mortality.

Disturbances in sodium and chloride homeostasis predict outcome in stable and critically ill patients with cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Hyponatremia has prognostic implications in patients with cirrhosis, and thus, has been incorporated in the 2016 MELD-UNOS update. Changes in serum chloride are commonly perceived as 'just' parallel to changes in serum sodium. However, these are less well studied in the context of cirrhosis. AIMS: To investigate whether serum chloride independently predicts outcomes in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) and stable clinical course or with critical illness. METHODS: 891 patients with ACLD (defined by hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥6 mm Hg) were followed after HVPG measurement between 2003 and 2020 (ACLD cohort). 181 critically ill patients with cirrhosis admitted to the ICU between 2004 and 2007 were recruited for the ICU cohort. Hypo-/hypernatremia (normal: 136-145 mmol/L) and hypo-/hyperchloremia (normal: 98-107 mmol/L) at baseline were assessed. RESULTS: ACLD cohort: 68% of male patients with a median MELD (adjusted for Na) of 11 (9-17) were included (Child-Pugh-stages-A/B/C: 46%/38%/16%) and followed for a median of 60 months. Lower serum chloride (adjusted average HR per mmol/L: 0.965 [95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.945-0.986], p = 0.001) showed a significant association with hepatic decompensation/liver-related mortality on multivariable Cox regression analysis adjusted for age, HVPG, albumin and MELD. In line, hypochloremia was significantly associated with hepatic decompensation/liver-related mortality (adjusted average HR: 1.656 [95% CI:1.267-2.163], p < 0.001). ICU cohort: 70% of patients were male, median MELD was 31(22-39) at ICU admission (92% with Child-Pugh-stage-C). After adjusting for hypo-/hypernatremia, MELD, and blood pH, hypochloremia remained independently associated with ICU-mortality (aOR Cl: 3.200 [95%CI: 1.209-8.829], p = 0.021). CONCLUSION: Hypochloremia is associated with increased mortality in clinically stable and critically ill patients with cirrhosis independently of MELD including serum sodium.

Dysregulated biomarkers of innate and adaptive immunity predict infections and disease progression in cirrhosis.

Background & Aims: Cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction (CAID) affects both innate and adaptive immunity. This study investigated the complement system, immunoglobulins, and acute-phase proteins and their prognostic relevance in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). Methods: Patients with ACLD (hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥6 mmHg) but without acute decompensation/infections were characterised by HVPG and by clinical EASL stages: compensated (cACLD; S0-2) vs. decompensated ACLD (dACLD) with previous variceal bleeding (S3), non-bleeding decompensation (S4), or further decompensation (S5). Complement factors (C3c, C4, CH50), immunoglobulins (IgA, IgM, IgG, IgG1-4), acute-phase proteins and systemic inflammation biomarkers (white blood cells, C-reactive protein, IL-6, procalcitonin) were measured. Results: A total of 245 patients (median model for end-stage liver disease score: 11 [9-15], median HVPG: 17 [12-21] mmHg) were included with 150 (61%) presenting dACLD. Complement levels and activity significantly decreased in dACLD substages S4 and S5 (p <0.001). Total IgA/IgM/IgG and IgG1-4 subtype levels increased in patients with dACLD (all p <0.05). Complement and immunoglobulin levels correlated negatively and positively, respectively, with systemic inflammation (all p <0.05). High IgG-1 (adjusted hazard ratio per 100 mg/dl: 1.12, 1.04-1.19, p = 0.002) and IL-6 (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.03, 1.00-1.05, p = 0.023) levels predicted the development of infections during follow-up. High IgA (stratified by median; log-rank p <0.001), high IgG1 (log-rank p = 0.043) and low C3c (log-rank p = 0.003) indicated a higher risk of first/further decompensation or liver-related death (composite endpoint). Next to HVPG and IL-6, low C3c (adjusted hazard ratio per mg/dl: 0.99, 0.97-0.99, p = 0.040) remained independently associated with the composite endpoint on multivariate Cox regression analysis. Conclusions: Complement levels and immunoglobulins may serve as surrogates of cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction and associate with cirrhosis severity and systemic inflammation. Low complement C3c predicted decompensation and liver-related death, whereas high IgG-1 indicated an increased risk for infections. Impact and Implications: Patients with cirrhosis are at increased risk for infections, which worsen their prognosis. We found a significant dysregulation of several essential components of the immune system that was linked to disease severity and indicated a risk for infections and other complications. Simple blood tests identify patients at particularly high risk, who may be candidates for preventive measures. Clinical Trials Registration: This study is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT03267615).

The Baveno VII concept of cirrhosis recompensation.

Traditionally, the progression from compensated to decompensated cirrhosis has been regarded as a point of no return in the natural history of the disease. However, this point of view is increasingly being challenged by new evidence on disease regression and hepatic recompensation upon suppression/cure of the underlying aetiology. In order to create a uniform definition of recompensated cirrhosis, standardised criteria have been set out by the Baveno VII consensus, which include the removal of the primary aetiological factor, the resolution of any decompensating events and a sustained improvement in hepatic function. Initial insights into the concept of hepatic recompensation come from previous studies, which have demonstrated that a cure/suppression of the underlying aetiology in patients with prior decompensation leads to significant clinical improvements and favourable outcomes and can even enable the delisting of transplant candidates. Nevertheless, future studies are required to shed light on the natural history of hepatic recompensation, assess modifying factors and potential non-invasive biomarkers of recompensation and explore the molecular mechanisms of disease regression.

Alcohol Abstinence Improves Prognosis Across All Stages of Portal Hypertension in Alcohol-Related Cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Alcohol-related liver disease is a leading cause of liver-related mortality. The effect of alcohol abstinence on the natural history of alcohol-related cirrhosis across distinct stages of portal hypertension has not been thoroughly investigated. In this study, we assessed the clinical implications of abstinence in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension. METHODS: Alcohol abstinence, hepatic decompensation, and mortality were assessed in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis who underwent a baseline hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement and were diagnosed with clinically significant portal hypertension (HVPG ≥10 mm Hg). RESULTS: A total of 320 patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis (median age: 57 [interquartile range (IQR), 49.7-63.1] years; 75.6% male; 87.5% decompensated) and a median HVPG of 20 (IQR, 17-23) mm Hg were followed up for a median of 36 (IQR, 14-80) months. Overall, 241 (75.3%) patients remained abstinent, while 79 (24.7%) patients had active alcohol consumption. Alcohol abstinence was linked to a significantly reduced risk of hepatic decompensation (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.391; P < .001), as well as liver-related (aHR, 0.428; P < .001) and all-cause (aHR, 0.453; P < .001) mortality, after adjusting for baseline HVPG, MELD, and previous decompensation. Importantly, alcohol abstinence significantly reduced the cumulative incidence of hepatic decompensation in both groups with HVPG 10-19 mm Hg (P < .001) and HVPG ≥20 mm Hg (P = .002). The 3-year decompensation probability was 32.4% vs 60.0% in HVPG 10-19 mm Hg and 57.5% vs 82.6% in HVPG ≥20 mm Hg for abstinent patients vs active drinkers, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol abstinence improves prognosis across all stages of portal hypertension in alcohol-related cirrhosis, including in patients who have already progressed to high-risk portal hypertension. (ClinicalTrials.gov, Number: NCT03267615).

Risk of further decompensation/mortality in patients with cirrhosis and ascites as the first single decompensation event.

Background & Aims: Although ascites is the most frequent first decompensating event in cirrhosis, the clinical course after ascites as the single index decompensation is not well defined. The aim of this multicentre study was thus to systematically investigate the incidence and type of further decompensation after ascites as the first decompensating event and to assess risk factors for mortality. Methods: A total of 622 patients with cirrhosis presenting with grade 2/3 ascites as the single index decompensating event at 2 university hospitals (Padova and Vienna) between 2003 and 2021 were included. Events of further decompensation, liver transplantation, and death were recorded. Results: The mean age was 57 ± 11 years, and most patients were male (n = 423, 68%) with alcohol-related (n = 366, 59%) and viral (n = 200,32%) liver disease as the main aetiologies. In total, 323 (52%) patients presented with grade 2 and 299 (48%) with grade 3 ascites. The median Child-Pugh score at presentation was 8 (IQR 7-9), and the mean model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) was 15 ± 6. During a median follow-up period of 49 months, 350 (56%) patients experienced further decompensation: refractory ascites (n = 130, 21%), hepatic encephalopathy (n = 112, 18%), spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (n = 32, 5%), hepatorenal syndrome-acute kidney injury (n = 29, 5%). Variceal bleeding as an isolated further decompensation event was rare (n = 18, 3%), whereas non-bleeding further decompensation (n = 161, 26%) and ≥2 concomitant further decompensation events (n = 171, 27%) were frequent. Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt was used in only 81 (13%) patients. In patients presenting with grade 2 ascites, MELD ≥15 indicated a considerable risk for further decompensation (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 2.18; p <0.001; 1-year incidences: <10: 10% vs. 10-14: 13% vs. ≥15: 28%) and of mortality (SHR 1.89; p = 0.004; 1-year incidences: <10: 3% vs. 10-14: 6% vs. ≥15: 14%). Importantly, mortality was similarly high throughout MELD strata in grade 3 ascites (p = n.s. for different MELD strata; 1-year incidences: <10: 14% vs. 10-14: 15% vs. ≥15: 20%). Conclusions: Further decompensation is frequent in patients with ascites as a single index decompensation event and only rarely owing to bleeding. Although patients with grade 2 ascites and MELD <15 seem to have a favourable prognosis, those with grade 3 ascites are at a high risk of mortality across all MELD strata. Lay summary: Decompensation (the development of symptoms as a result of worsening liver function) marks a turning point in the disease course for patients with cirrhosis. Ascites (i.e. , the accumulation of fluid in the abdomen) is the most common first decompensating event, yet little is known about the clinical course of patients who develop ascites as a single first decompensating event. Herein, we show that the severity of ascites is associated with mortality and that in patients with moderate ascites, the widely used prognostic MELD score can predict patient outcomes.

Distinct structural and dynamic components of portal hypertension in different animal models and human liver disease etiologies.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Liver fibrosis is the static and main (70%-80%) component of portal hypertension (PH). We investigated dynamic components of PH by a three-dimensional analysis based on correlation of hepatic collagen proportionate area (CPA) with portal pressure (PP) in animals or HVPG in patients. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Different animal models (bile duct ligation: n = 31, carbon tetrachloride: n = 12, thioacetamide: n = 12, choline-deficient high-fat diet: n = 12) and patients with a confirmed single etiology of cholestatic (primary biliary cholangitis/primary sclerosing cholangitis: n = 16), alcohol-associated (n = 22), and metabolic (NASH: n = 19) liver disease underwent CPA quantification on liver specimens/biopsies. Based on CPA-to-PP/HVPG correlation, potential dynamic components were identified in subgroups of animals/patients with lower-than-expected and higher-than-expected PP/HVPG. Dynamic PH components were validated in a patient cohort (n = 245) using liver stiffness measurement (LSM) instead of CPA. CPA significantly correlated with PP in animal models (Rho = 0.531; p < 0.001) and HVPG in patients (Rho = 0.439; p < 0.001). Correlation of CPA with PP/HVPG varied across different animal models and etiologies in patients. In models, severity of hyperdynamic circulation and specific fibrosis pattern (portal fibrosis: p = 0.02; septa width: p = 0.03) were associated with PH severity. In patients, hyperdynamic circulation (p = 0.04), vascular dysfunction/angiogenesis (VWF-Ag: p = 0.03; soluble vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 1: p = 0.03), and bile acids (p = 0.04) were dynamic modulators of PH. The LSM-HVPG validation cohort confirmed these and also indicated IL-6 (p = 0.008) and hyaluronic acid (HA: p < 0.001) as dynamic PH components. CONCLUSIONS: The relative contribution of "static" fibrosis on PH severity varies by type of liver injury. Next to hyperdynamic circulation, increased bile acids, VWF-Ag, IL-6, and HA seem to indicate a pronounced dynamic component of PH in patients.

The prognostic value of HVPG-response to non-selective beta-blockers in patients with NASH cirrhosis and varices.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis has become a leading cause of cirrhosis. The prognostic value of (HVPG)-guided NSBB prophylaxis remains to be investigated in the setting of NASH cirrhosis. METHODS: Patients with NASH cirrhosis and varices undergoing HVPG-guided NSBB therapy were included. HVPG-response to NSBBs was evaluated within a median 52 (IQR:28-71) days after baseline measurement. HVPG-Response was defined as a decrease of ≥10% from baseline or below <12 mmHg. The composite endpoint was defined as variceal bleeding, decompensation, and liver-related death. RESULTS: Thirtyeight patients were included: Child-A/B:33(87%), Child-C:5(13%) median HVPG:19.7 ± 4.7 mmHg. 21(55.3%) patients achieved HVPG-response to NSBB. Presence of diabetes(aOR:0.16, p = 0.038) and arterial blood pressure (aOR:1.07, p = 0.044) were independently associated with NSBB-response. While NSBB-HVPG-responders showed fewer decompensations within 90 days (n = 1(5%) vs. n = 3(29%), p = 0.172), only Child-Pugh stage B/C (p = 0.001), MELD ≥ 15(p = 0.021) and HVPG ≥ 20 mmHg(p = 0.011) predicted the composite endpoint at 90 days. Similarly, after 2years of follow-up, only Child-Pugh stage (B:p = 0.001, C:p < 0.001), MELD ≥ 15 (p = 0.021), HVPG≥20 mmHg (p = 0.011) predicted the composite endpoint. Importantly, all bleeding events occurred in HVPG-NSBB non-responders. CONCLUSION: HVPG-response to NSBB was achieved in 55.3% of NASH patients with varices and this seemed to protect from variceal bleeding. However, only baseline HVPG ≥ 20 mmHg, Child-Pugh stage B/C and MELD ≥ 15 were predictors of decompensation/death in patients with NASH cirrhosis and varices.

Nuclear receptors in liver fibrosis.

Nuclear receptors are ligand-activated transcription factors that regulate gene expression of a variety of key molecular signals involved in liver fibrosis. The primary cellular driver of liver fibrogenesis is activated hepatic stellate cells. Different nuclear receptors regulate the hepatic expression of pro-inflammatory and pro-fibrogenic cytokines that promote the transformation of hepatic stellate cells into fibrogenic myofibroblasts. Importantly, nuclear receptors regulate gene expression circuits that promote hepatic fibrogenesis and/or allow liver fibrosis regression. In this review, we highlight the direct and indirect influence of nuclear receptors on liver fibrosis, with a focus on hepatic stellate cells, and discuss potential therapeutic effects of nuclear receptor modulation in regard to anti-fibrotic and anti-inflammatory effects. Further research on nuclear receptors-related signaling may lead to the clinical development of effective anti-fibrotic therapies for patients with liver disease.

COVID-19-Related Downscaling of In-Hospital Liver Care Decreased Patient Satisfaction and Increased Liver-Related Mortality.

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic necessitated down-scaling of in-hospital care to prohibit the spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus-2. We (1) assessed patient perceptions on quality of care by telesurvey (cohort 1) and written questionnaire (cohort 2), and (2) analyzed trends in elective and nonelective admissions before (December 2019 to February 2020) and during (March to May 2020) the COVID-19 pandemic in Austria. A total of 279 outpatients were recruited into cohort 1 and 138 patients into cohort 2. All admissions from December 2019 to May 2020 to the Division of Gastroenterology/Hepatology at the Vienna General Hospital were analyzed. A total of 32.6% (n = 91 of 279) of cohort 1 and 72.5% (n = 95 of 131) of cohort 2 had telemedical contact, whereas 59.5% (n = 166 of 279) and 68.2% (n = 90 of 132) had face-to-face visits. A total of 24.1% (n = 32 of 133) needed acute medical help during health care restrictions; however, 57.3% (n = 51 of 89) reported that contacting their physician during COVID-19 was difficult or impossible. Patient-reported satisfaction with treatment decreased significantly during restrictions in cohort 1 (visual analog scale [VAS] 0-10: 9.0 ± 1.6 to 8.6 ± 2.2; P < 0.001) and insignificantly in cohort 2 (VAS 0-10: 8.9 ± 1.6 to 8.7 ± 2.1; P = 0.182). Despite fewer hospital admissions during COVID-19, the proportion of nonelective admissions (+6.3%) and intensive care unit admissions (+6.7%) increased. Patients with cirrhosis with nonelective admissions during COVID-19 had significantly higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) (25.5 [14.2] vs. 17.0 [interquartile range: 8.8]; P = 0.003) and ΔMELD (difference from last MELD: 3.9 ± 6.3 vs. 8.7 ± 6.4; P = 0.008), required immediate intensive care more frequently (26.7% vs. 5.6%; P = 0.034), and had significantly increased 30-day liver-related mortality (30.0% vs. 8.3%; P = 0.028). Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic's effects on quality of liver care is evident from decreased patient satisfaction, hospitalization of sicker patients with advanced chronic liver disease, and increased liver-related mortality. Strategies for improved telemedical liver care and preemptive treatment of cirrhosis-related complications are needed to counteract the COVID-19-associated restrictions of in-hospital care.